The Next Two Years

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An Historic Election

The U.S. election takes place on November 3, 2026, and most people have hopes and fears of who might win in that election. Republicans hope that the GOP can hold the majority in both houses of Congress while Democrats dream of their party wresting the majority from the Republicans in both chambers.

The truth is, unless there is a wizard behind the curtain who controls the election mechanisms, no one will know the final results until Tuesday evening or perhaps Wednesday morning. When the outcome is announced, some will be happy, some will be sad and, given the possibility of a Democrat majority in one chamber and a GOP majority in the other (a very real possibility), it could be that no one will get exactly what they want. The goal here is to offer a measure of comfort to individuals on both sides of the aisle.

The trick to surviving this election is to fully understand what to expect over the next two years. To a degree, 2027 and 2028 will look slightly different depending on which party prevails on November 3rd. However, the differences over the next two years may not be as dramatic as some might expect.

A Democrat Landslide

Suppose the Democrats win in a landslide. In that case, the party could win a majority in both chambers of Congress. The party could end up with perhaps a 231-204 majority in the House of Representatives, but probably not more than a 51-49 majority in the Senate. Still, a majority is a majority. The question is what might the voters expect over the next two years as a result.

With a majority in the House, Democrats would control committee chairmanships, which is a big deal. Committee chairmen dictate what topics will be discussed and what hearings will be held. Of course, with Democrats in charge, the primary topic for the next two years will be impeachment. In fact, without a doubt, the first item on the agenda in the House of Representatives on January 2, 2027, will be the introduction of articles of impeachment against President Trump.

After a couple months of hearings on the topic, the leaders in the House would undoubtedly present their case to the Senate, which serves as the jury in such cases. Unfortunately for the House of Representatives, their attempt to remove the president from office would fail since two-thirds of the Senate would need to agree to remove the president. That will not happen.

Upon failure to remove the president from office, it is likely that the next item on the House agenda would be a second introduction of articles of impeachment against Trump. Rinse and repeat. After the second failure, it is likely that the next introduction of articles of impeachment would be against Pete Hegseth (Secretary of War)...an attempt that would also fail. Also, as impeachments continued, there would undoubtedly be an array of investigations into Republican activities. However, with no influence over the Justice Department, there would be no option for political lawfare. After all of the investigations and impeachments, the Democrats would have used up their two-year majority having accomplished nothing.

In the meantime, in the Senate, during those times when they were not hearing a case against Trump or Hegseth, the Democrat majority would immediately eliminate the filibuster and begin changing Senate rules to benefit the Democrat Party. Those changes could include lowering the cloture threshold, expanding the use of budget reconciliation, increasing the majority leader's control over floor time, and a host of other measures. (For those who don't know what those statements mean, you're lucky). Also, like the House of Representatives, there would undoubtedly be a plethora of investigations into Republican activities.

What a Democrat majority could not do in either chamber would be to pass and implement a new law without a presidential signature. Despite all the blustery rhetoric, they could not eliminate the electoral college or pack the Supreme Court. That is the nature of a government with built-in checks and balances. Consequently, should the Democrats win the majority in both chambers, it is safe to say that not much would change over the next two years.

A Republican Landslide

Should the Republicans win the majority in both chambers of Congress, the numbers might look a bit different. For instance, in the House of Representatives the majority might be a bit slimmer - perhaps 221-214. In the Senate, a 53-47 Republican majority could be expected. The question is: What would the Republicans do with those majorities?

For one thing, there would be no impeachment of President Trump or Secretary Hegseth. Beyond that, you could expect the House to pass a number of bills, budgetary and others, which would then be passed on to the upper chamber. At that point, those bills would die, as they are wont to do in the Senate. The majority leader has seemed ineffective when it comes to moving legislation through that chamber - a fact that has frustrated Republicans but left Democrats in a state of glee.

Some may wonder whether the Senate might pass the SAVE Act, since that bill has already passed in the House of Representatives. However, while the act has passed in the House, it would need to be reintroduced in the House once the new Congress was sworn in. A bill that has failed to pass in both chambers is considered null and void once the new Congress takes office. If the Republicans were to hold the majority in the House, the bill may well pass again if reintroduced in that chamber. Still, passing the bill in the Senate may be beyond the capability or the aspiration of the Senate leadership.

It seems, then, that a Republican majority in both chambers would result in little change, and very little being accomplished over the next two years. This is especially true in the Senate where there is an unwillingness on the part of Republicans to unburden themselves of the filibuster, which no longer serves its originally intended purpose. There was a time when the filibuster was a tool that forced the minority party to earn the right to kill a bill. Now that the talking filibuster is no longer required, the filibuster, as a political tool, is as worthless as a garden rake in the replacment a light bulb.

A Split Decision

It is possible, and some believe it is even probable, that Democrats could take the majority in the House of Representatives while Republicans retain the majority in the Senate. In fact, this is arguably the most likely outcome of this election. Yet, it would not change much in Washington. No doubt the House of Representatives would hold investigative hearings and seek to impeach the president and perhaps others in the administration, but to no avail. As under a Democrat Senate majority, not much would happen in the upper chamber since no law can be passed without a presidential signature.

An abundance of lawsuits would be filed against Republicans by the Democrat majority in the House of Representatives. This is particularly true if the president continues to issue executive orders. Each order will wind up in court. Suffice it to say that, no matter what occurs in the 2026 mid-term election, not much will change over the course of the coming two years.

The next two years will likely make little difference in the grand scheme, since the person occupying the White House will not change. Still, there is no doubt that it will be excruciatingly painful for the members of the party that does worse in this year's election. The only comfort for those people is that it is only two years.

Consider This...

While it seems the most likely outcome is that Republicans will wind up with a majority in the Senate, the House of Representatives is still up in the air. It is impossible to know exactly who will control the House for the next two years. There are simply too many factors in play over 435 seats to make that determination. However, it can be said, based on early in-person and mail-in voting, it is more likely that Republicans will control both chambers than it is likely that Democrats will control both chambers. It is also more likely that Republicans will increase their majority in the Senate (perhaps 54 or 55 seats) than it is likely that Democrats will control the Senate.

These things having been said, it is estimated that each member of Congress, including salary, staff, benefits, perks, etc., costs the American taxpayer roughly $1.6 million annually. With 535 members of Congress, that comes to about $1.7 billion over the next two years. That seems a hefty price to pay knowing that, regardless which party prevails on November 3rd, citizens will not see much benefit for the money.

An Point of Concern

Should Republicans win both chambers or perhaps even win just the Senate majority, the word is that America can anticipate violent riots in the streets across the nation. The purpose would be to create chaos - as much as possible. Also, those riots, which will likely involve massive destruction of property and considerable personal injuries, will be defended, and even encouraged by members of the Democrat Party.

While there may be issues shortly after the election, and even into 2027, it stands to reason that the rioting will take place primarily in the second year of the congressional term (2028). That way it can be employed as a talking point for Democrat presidential candidates. The riots will be depicted in the news as spontaneous and organic, but that will not be the case. They will be planned and well-organized (despite appearing chaotic) with busloads of individuals showing up from distant locations in order to participate. Evidence of that planning is here before your eyes, on November 2, 2026, as the plan has already been exposed.

One Other Matter

There is one thing of which the American voter can be assured. Over the next two years (2027-2028), the one matter that will suck up all the political oxygen is the 2028 presidential election. In fact, before the end of 2026, it should become evident which politicians are beginning to position themselves for the presidential race. Will Kamala run again? Perhaps Gavin Newsome will run. It could be Corey Booker, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Mayor Pete, or a host of other candidates. (Okay, we can rest assured it will not be Tim Walz). Actually, it would be surprising if the Democrats serve up less than a dozen or so candidates in an effort to see which one clicks with the voters.

On the Republican side, as vice-president, J.D. Vance seems to have the upper hand in early polling, but that does not mean others would not be willing to throw a hat in the ring. For instance, it would be no surprise for Nikki Haley to make herself available. It seems obvious that the presidency has always been her goal. Perhaps Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz might give it a shot. It is simply hard to say. Still, regardless the results of the 2026 mid-term election, everyone should relax. The next two years will be interesting with an approaching presidential election, but not much will change.

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